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Key points Listing outcomes to find the probability of combined events Examples Questions Using sample space diagrams to find the probability of combined events Examples Question Taking a logical and ...

We’ve seen a number of outlier events in 2016, but the experts predicted them poorly and are labeling them “black swans.” According to Nassim Taleb, black swan events are highly unexpected for a given ...

Normal distribution curve that illustrates standard deviations. Each band has 1 standard deviation, and the labels indicate the approximate proportion of area . Source: M. W. Toews Creative Commons ...

Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...

Welcome to my new blog here on Forbes.com. Over the new few months I’m going to be talking about a couple of quite disparate but fascinating areas: book publishing and high-impact low-probability ...

Adam Schiff, the ranking Democrat on the House Intelligence committee, wondered aloud about coincidences. A column by Charles Blow in the New York Times was titled “Dwindling Odds of Coincidence.” The ...